Why I Think Palin Will Win Tonight. (NRR)

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  • Birdman9Birdman9 5,417 Posts
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    b,121"Your wife is a schoolteacher... Well her reward's in heaven, right?"
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    b,121That was a MAJOR f*ck up that will stick. Watch.
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    b,121Anyone have a link to this quote in a transcript? I'd like to send it to my wife so she can give it to the idiots in her school who think Obama is a Muslim.
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    b,121The exact quote is:
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    b,121"You mentioned education and I'm glad you did.
    I know education you are passionate about with your wife being a teacher for 30 years, and god bless her. Her reward is in heaven, right?/b1 I say, too, with education, America needs to be putting a lot more focus on that and our schools have got to be really ramped up in terms of the funding that they are deserving."b,121b,121It makes my eye twitch when I read it, the mangled grammar is painful. Must go get bled by leeches again, my humors have become unaligned once more. b,121b,121h,121
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    b,121Can someone explain to me what this even means?
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    b,121I assume it's some sort of folksy aphorism that resonates at the kitchen table off main street?
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121There you go again.b,121b,121The problem with the spew that ran out of her mouth is that the only people left analyzing this tripe is people who don't think she's qualified or smart enough in the first place. Her people heard english words and that was enough for them.

  • DJBombjackDJBombjack Miami 1,665 Posts
    Having never heard Biden speak before, I was impressed with what he had to say. Informed, factual to-the-point answers. I think there were maybe 2 times he rambled a little, but he brought his point back strong. And you had to feel for him when he choked a little mentioning his deceased wife and daughter.b,121b,121Palin was the polar opposite. Non-answers, terrible grammar, and playing heavily on the 'i'm-just-a-regular-person-like-you-folks' schtick. It was like nails on a chalkboard.

  • mannybolonemannybolone Los Angeles, CA 15,025 Posts
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    b,121Coming from a table of academics in California, it just sounds like typical Democrat mentality - "Americans are stupid that's why we don't win".
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    b,121I may yet be proved wrong, but I disagree wholeheartedly.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121I didn't say nor imply that at all. For one thing the "table of academics" included someone from Atlanta and someone else from Chicago - not a group of Berkeley n' Birkenstock latte sippers. And none of us implied "Americans are stupid." I'm completely puzzled over where you got that from. b,121b,121My point - probably poorly stated since it was written at midnight...from a DJ booth - was that, in a circle of people whose professional lives revolve (presumably) around some level of rationality and analytical skills, people were deeply pessimistic that no matter what the data suggests, no matter how current events should benefit the Democrats, no matter whatever mathematical advantage Dems have this year in the total size of their base...somewhere along the line, something was going to go very, very, very wrong. The two biggest theories were 1) closest racists would come out and sink Obama, Bradley-style (no use of the term "negrophobic" however) and 2) Diebold-style voter fraud. And what I thought was interesting is that I was suggesting, "look at the momentum. Look at how the only upswing McCain enjoyed was around the convention - which was expected - and look at how his precipitous decline now correlates to his decline pre-convention." None of that mattered to the. b,121b,121Don't get wrong: I get the paranoia. I really do. But increasingly, it's like people don't want to see the evidence out there for what it is but even as that evidence points more and more to an Obama win, it's like there's an equal rise in the belief of some kind of evil deus ex machina to rescue McCain. And this despite that some of the same people were also observing things like, "people who never vote are voting. And voting for Obama. Weird." But as noted, as the ground base swells, their concern over some secret/shadow gov't intervention swells too. I just thought it was an interesting phenom. b,121b,121b,121/font1
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    b,121I wouldn't be so fast to agree with Odub on the debate helping McCain much.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121I was being facetious. My point was that "Palin not ethering herself could be seen as a positive...except our economy is imploding at the speed of light, so who cares how Palin did? It's a non-starter."

  • DuderonomyDuderonomy Haut de la Garenne 7,794 Posts
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    b,121My point - probably poorly stated since it was written at midnight...from a DJ booth
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121Can somebody remind me to use this next time there's a vinyl vs serrato arguement?b,121 img src="/ubbthreads/images/graemlins/oj.gif" alt="" /1

  • in good times, or even bad times that aren't devastating, i would presume that the "who you'd rather have a beer with" factor is much more significant.b,121b,121i'm sure there are millions of americans who think obama is an elitist, or just an intellectual they can't relate to. however, when the economy is shit, and nobody seems to have a solution, you want 2 professors on the job, not a soccer mom and some crazy old war hero, even if you relate much more closely to the latter.

  • white_teawhite_tea 3,262 Posts
    I want people to be pessimistic. If everyone starts to feel confident, they might not vote.b,121b,121Palin got a lot of credit for her "coherent" performance last night. But reading this stuff in the transcript, I am not so sure. Her thought process is mind-boggling.

  • In a way, I'm glad that she didn't wholly embarrass herself last night... there was a lot of talk that if she had totally impoloded, the McCain camp might have made major changes- change tactics, even campaign managers.b,121b,121As far as I'm concerned, the longer they maintain the status quo, the better that is for the Obama camp.b,121b,121As to that camp- go for the jugular. No more playing-not-to-lose. It is time to crush their f*cking throats...

  • DrWuDrWu 4,021 Posts
    Today's headlines from conservative columnists (Goldberg, Brooks, Krauthammer, etc), who just one week ago were calling for Palin to step aside, is that she did great because she didn't draw a blank when asked her own name. "She wins because she's not the retard you saw last week on CBS". So cynical.

  • DB_CooperDB_Cooper Manhatin' 7,823 Posts
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    b,121Her thought process is mind-boggling.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121Truly. What I find perhaps most disturbing is her penchant for conflated causes and effects. Like in this quote from last night:b,121b,121"I'm not one to attribute every man -- activity of man to the changes in the climate."b,121b,121It's like she understands that there is supposed to be a connection between the idea of human activity and the idea of climate change, but her mind can't grasp the actual relationship between the two.b,121b,121Frightening.

  • onetetonetet 1,754 Posts
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    b,121Her thought process is mind-boggling.
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    b,121Truly. What I find perhaps most disturbing is her penchant for conflated causes and effects. Like in this quote from last night:
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    b,121"I'm not one to attribute every man -- activity of man to the changes in the climate."
    b,121
    b,121It's like she understands that there is supposed to be a connection between the idea of human activity and the idea of climate change, but her mind can't grasp the actual relationship between the two.
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    b,121Frightening.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121yeah, but you try debating O'Biden while keeping a watchful eye on the Talibanny -- all the while knowing you may be coming down with an infection from the toxic mess on Main Street.

  • DJBombjackDJBombjack Miami 1,665 Posts
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    b,121Today's headlines from conservative columnists (Goldberg, Brooks, Krauthammer, etc), who just one week ago were calling for Palin to step aside, is that she did great because she didn't draw a blank when asked her own name. "She wins because she's not the retard you saw last week on CBS". So cynical.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121I mean really. When the best compliment you can give is that she managed to put whole sentences together, you know you're in trouble.

  • phongonephongone 1,652 Posts
    Yo did she really say the central war on terrorism was in Iraq because the chief of Al Queda told her so?

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    b,121Her thought process is mind-boggling.
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    b,121Truly. What I find perhaps most disturbing is her penchant for conflated causes and effects. Like in this quote from last night:
    b,121
    b,121"I'm not one to attribute every man -- activity of man to the changes in the climate."
    b,121
    b,121It's like she understands that there is supposed to be a connection between the idea of human activity and the idea of climate change, but her mind can't grasp the actual relationship between the two.
    b,121
    b,121Frightening.
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    b,121yeah, but you try debating O'Biden while keeping a watchful eye on the Talibanny -- all the while knowing you may be coming down with an infection from the toxic mess on Main Street.
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  • mannybolonemannybolone Los Angeles, CA 15,025 Posts
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    b,121I want people to be pessimistic. If everyone starts to feel confident, they might not vote.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121I hear you but the thing is: people aren't worried that turnout will be bad. The concern is over some crazy, conspiracy-level, backdoor chicanery that will negate the popular will. b,121b,121I don't know if that pessimism is "good" or "bad" - I just find it really fascinating that the better the news on the ground looks, the greater the belief in some incredibly high level of intervention.


  • mannybolonemannybolone Los Angeles, CA 15,025 Posts
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121For real - I can't remember the last time expectations were so basement-low for a public official. b,121b,121I>And this is the vice-president we're talking about[/i].

  • corsiccorsic oakland, ca 232 Posts
    "Say it ain't so, Joe?"b,121b,121Who says that? I mean, unless your a child actor from the 50's. But, the VP candidate? When her mouth opens I must leave the room, kind of like Bush. It was difficult to watch last night ... that voice ... ahhhh!

  • mannybolonemannybolone Los Angeles, CA 15,025 Posts
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    b,121"Say it ain't so, Joe?"
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    b,121Who says that? I mean, unless your a child actor from the 50's. But, the VP candidate? When her mouth opens I must leave the room, kind of like Bush. It was difficult to watch last night ... that voice ... ahhhh!
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121^^^EAST COAST ELITIST/DISCONNECTED FROM JOE-SIXPACKS AND HOCKEY MOMS/NOT DOWN WITH THE (MAIN) SKREETS.

  • pcmrpcmr 5,591 Posts
    anybody else think joe-sixpack is a horrible expressionb,121b,121what if your stepfather was an abusive alcoholicb,121b,121Joe sixpack...how is this a positive way of describing an everyday amaerican citizenb,121b,121did you guys catch the intereactive independents cnn were having watch the debatesb,121b,121the republican palin supporter was a freeky looking unable to make a sentence somewhat glue-huffing woman who was scarier than miss "get back at ya" herself

  • SwayzeSwayze 14,705 Posts
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    h,121
    b,121"Your wife is a schoolteacher... Well her reward's in heaven, right?"
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    b,121That was a MAJOR f*ck up that will stick. Watch.
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    b,121Anyone have a link to this quote in a transcript? I'd like to send it to my wife so she can give it to the idiots in her school who think Obama is a Muslim.
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    b,121The exact quote is:
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    b,121"You mentioned education and I'm glad you did.
    I know education you are passionate about with your wife being a teacher for 30 years, and god bless her. Her reward is in heaven, right?/b1 I say, too, with education, America needs to be putting a lot more focus on that and our schools have got to be really ramped up in terms of the funding that they are deserving."b,121b,121It makes my eye twitch when I read it, the mangled grammar is painful. Must go get bled by leeches again, my humors have become unaligned once more. b,121b,121h,121
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    b,121Can someone explain to me what this even means?
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    b,121I assume it's some sort of folksy aphorism that resonates at the kitchen table off main street?
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    b,121There you go again.
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    b,121The problem with the spew that ran out of her mouth is that the only people left analyzing this tripe is people who don't think she's qualified or smart enough in the first place. Her people heard english words and that was enough for them.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121were you at danny coyles?

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    b,121Coming from a table of academics in California, it just sounds like typical Democrat mentality - "Americans are stupid that's why we don't win".
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    b,121I may yet be proved wrong, but I disagree wholeheartedly.
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    b,121I didn't say nor imply that at all. For one thing the "table of academics" included someone from Atlanta and someone else from Chicago - not a group of Berkeley n' Birkenstock latte sippers. And none of us implied "Americans are stupid." I'm completely puzzled over where you got that from.
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    b,121My point - probably poorly stated since it was written at midnight...from a DJ booth -
    b,121
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121Well you didn't say where they were from but the poast said "I was having dinner with a political scientist and ..." well I think it's not all that puzzling. img src="/ubbthreads/images/graemlins/wink.gif" alt="" /1b,121b,121Anyway, I don't get the paranoia. And I'd be interested to know who these other folks were and what kind of background they're from politically. My dad always says stuff like "'they' won't let Obama be president", but my dad's a socialist loon who moved to Europe - and I'm not exaggerating or employing hyperbole here.b,121b,121And I do think that such paranoia in the face of solid data is kind of second-guessing the American electorate... while it might be easy to retort "and with good reason", that is pretty condescending. Who wants to live in a country they think so poorly of?

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    b,121She was on her note cards the entire time, and the rules were adjusted so that there would be no follow-ups or clarifications.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121you know what woulda been great? take handful of these GOP supporters who have convinced themselves that Palin is somehow even remotely qualified to do the job (I am looking at you Vitamin) and placed them in the room while the McCain reps hammered out the debate rules with the committee!b,121b,121I imagine behind closed doors the negotiations went something like this: Alright lets cut the crap. We all know she is dumb as bricks. The only way John will agree to let her debate is if there are no follow-up questions or requests for clarifications by the moderator. b,121b,121I mean, what a startling admission of your candidate's incompetence it is to request of the debates committee, with a straight face, "no follow-up questions, please. she can't handle it."b,121b,121clearly McCain's own camp has no illusions about her intelligence/competence. it's hilarious to watch GOP supporters who do.

  • THOSE DUDES ARE SOFTER THAN A JELLYFISH'S ASSHOLE!

  • DB_CooperDB_Cooper Manhatin' 7,823 Posts
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    b,121THOSE DUDES ARE SOFTER THAN A JELLYFISH'S ASSHOLE!
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  • Side note: I know Harvey_Canal said "that's gross" at some point, but I think a better graemlin would be Tajai's head saying "Dude... that's disgusting."b,121b,121b,121Also, I just found this while searching for Tajai:b,121b,121img src="http://www.mtv.com/shared/promoimages/bands/s/souls_of_mischief/93_til_infinity/140x105.jpg"1b,121b,121"DAAAAAAAAAAMN!"

  • mannybolonemannybolone Los Angeles, CA 15,025 Posts
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    b,121Anyway, I don't get the paranoia.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121Really? After the fiasco that was 2000 and the disappointment of 2004? Lefties are shook (hint: see YP from a few weeks back) that no matter what happens, the GOP will find some magic rabbit to pull out of the hat (read: Osama in handcuffs), to win in a month. b,121b,121Though, in the case of the folks at the pub with me, their bigger concern wasn't so much an October surprise, but more like 1) the Bradley Effect to end all Bradley Effects and/or 2) rigged voting machines or some other form of MASSIVE voter fraud. b,121b,121/font1
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    b,121And I'd be interested to know who these other folks were and what kind of background they're from politically. My dad always says stuff like "'they' won't let Obama be president", but my dad's a socialist loon who moved to Europe - and I'm not exaggerating or employing hyperbole here.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121Lesse - all three are left. Way left. b,121b,121Political scientist (studies race and politics; was invited to comment on Super Tuesday for the ABC affiliate out here) is Chicano, from LA, educated at an East Coast elite university (which also happens to be G.W.B.'s alma mater). Big believer in the Bradley effect, big believer in possible vote rigging. Also thinks Obama's leads in battleground states are too close to feel secured about. Reads RCP, tried to convince her 538 was more accurate. Her parents are the ones who haven't voted in years and are registering to vote for Obama. b,121b,121Psychologist (don't know her field of study) is Black, from Chicago. Another big believer in the Bradley Effect. Her mom, who has family in the South, had an interesting theory: there are White Southerners who won't say they're voting for Obama in order to save face with their neighbors but who will vote for him in the election. In essence, a reverse Bradley effect. Yet, despite that, she (the psychologist) still thinks closest racists are a real concern for Obama's chances. b,121b,121Sociologist (studies race, gender and labor) is White, from Atlanta. Again, another believer in the Bradley effect but she was more convinced that American voters are too easily swayed by personality rather than issues or policy. Side note: her hatred for Palin was visceral...it was kind of funny sitting next to her during the debates. One more pitcher of Newcastle and she might have started throwing shit at the plasmas. b,121b,121b,121/font1
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    b,121And I do think that such paranoia in the face of solid data
    is kind of second-guessing the American electorate... while it might be easy to retort "and with good reason", that is pretty condescending. Who wants to live in a country they think so poorly of?b,121b,121h,121
    font class="post"1b,121b,121Only the last person I just mentioned thought poorly of the electorate as a whole. The other two didn't think Americans - writ large - were the problem. They were primarily worried about 1) specifically White democrats who'll switch over to McCain, either because they're PUMAs or closet racists or whatever and 2) behind-the-scenes manipulation, ala hacking Diebold. Neither has nothing to do with the electorate as a whole and the latter has absolutely nothing to do with voters at all. It's worry about powerful institutions and their agents. I don't find that condescending - paranoid, sure - but hardly looking down on the "everyman/woman". More like worried about Rovians.

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    b,121did you guys catch the intereactive independents cnn were having watch the debates
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    b,121the republican palin supporter was a freeky looking unable to make a sentence somewhat glue-huffing woman who was scarier than miss "get back at ya" herself
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121I also loved how when asked by a show of hands who was going to win the election most of these independents overwhelmingly favored Obama. When asked how many actually have decided to vote Obama, though, most remained undecided. That's b/c if they make a decision one way or another they get kicked off the focus group island. Everyone "undecided" gets to come back for the next debate. They all just want to stay on TV.

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    b,121 the Bradley Effect to end all Bradley Effects
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121The only place this lives is in right wing blogs. There's just no credible evidence that such a thing exists.b,121b,121To be blunt, especially now that you've revealed that two of three are non-white, this just sounds more superstitious than paranoid... and frankly, disconnected from white folks.b,121b,121As RootlessCosmo mentioned somewhere else, people who think that white Obama supporters are racist and therefore will secretly vote for McCain don't understand the stealth with which racism operates in 2008. These white folks may well be racist in some way: they may not want black neighbors, may put their kids in homogeneous prep schools, may be scared to venture into mixed urban neighborhoods (let alone actual ghettos)... but they are definitely going to vote for Obama. They want to vote for Obama. It makes them feel a lot better about the elements of racism that still exist within them.b,121b,121There are plenty of reasons to oppose Obama that don't have to do with his race - and there are plenty of folks who will be open about not voting for a mixed-race candidate with a Muslim name without having to lie. The idea that there is a massive population of whites who will secretly vote for McCain after they've supported Obama to telephone pollsters (how much more anonymity do you need?) just has no basis in fact at all.b,121b,121As far as massive diebold voter fraud... again, as Onetet posted elsewhere, Americans might be ok with a little vote flubbing here and there... but anyone who thinks that the Republicans can pull off a massive vote heist - and have America just go along with it - and have it take place across numerous states hundreds of miles apart no less - is veering dangerously close to tinfoil hat territory. Not to mention, Democrats are just as likely to dabble with minor voter fraud and the two sides will likely cancel each other out.b,121b,121I don't want to be a blind optimist here, but your friends just sound way, way out of it. I think Obama has a far better chance of success than failure. And not to be morbid, but there's better odds he's assassinated than has some massive Bradley Effect or organized voter fraud keep him from office.

  • motown67motown67 4,513 Posts
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    h,121
    b,121"Your wife is a schoolteacher... Well her reward's in heaven, right?"
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    b,121That was a MAJOR f*ck up that will stick. Watch.
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    b,121Anyone have a link to this quote in a transcript? I'd like to send it to my wife so she can give it to the idiots in her school who think Obama is a Muslim.
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    b,121The exact quote is:
    b,121
    b,121"You mentioned education and I'm glad you did.
    I know education you are passionate about with your wife being a teacher for 30 years, and god bless her. Her reward is in heaven, right?[/b] I say, too, with education, America needs to be putting a lot more focus on that and our schools have got to be really ramped up in terms of the funding that they are deserving."b,121b,121It makes my eye twitch when I read it, the mangled grammar is painful. Must go get bled by leeches again, my humors have become unaligned once more. b,121b,121h,121
    font class="post"1
    b,121
    b,121Can someone explain to me what this even means?
    b,121
    b,121I assume it's some sort of folksy aphorism that resonates at the kitchen table off main street?
    b,121
    b,121
    h,121
    font class="post"1b,121b,121She was trying to say that teachers aren't appreciated nor paid what they should be during their lifetime.
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