You Really Think Obama is Going to Win?

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  • drewnicedrewnice 5,465 Posts
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    b,121Just to add - the thing that doesn't even really map well onto polling is what extent the voter registration drives that Obama's campaign has been grinding out will do between now and Nov.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121One such push:b,121b,121Jay-Z Supports Obama With Free Shows This Weekend/b1b,121Rapper helps in push to register new voters before Monday's deadline in Michigan and Florida.b,121b,121Democratic presidential candidate Senator Barack Obama already confirmed to MTV's Sway that he's a fan of hip-hop, but the love continues to go both ways. One of the senator's longtime vocal supporters, Jay-Z, has scheduled two free shows this weekend in Detroit and Miami in support of the Obama campaign.b,121b,121The first, which takes place at the Cobo Arena in Detroit on Saturday, will promote voter registration and encourage attendees to get involved in the Obama campaign, according to Detroit's WWJ TV. The push is on in Michigan to register new voters by the October 6 deadline to be eligible to vote in the November 4 election. Anyone who's at least 18 years old can pick up one free ticket at Obama campaign offices throughout southeast Michigan to attend the Detroit show and an accompanying rally.b,121b,121Next, Jay will promote voter registration and Obama's campaign with a show in Miami on Sunday at Bayfront Park, according to the Miami Herald. As in Michigan, Monday is the last day to register to vote for the upcoming election in Florida, which, as it has been in the past two elections, is likely to be a crucial state for both Obama and Republican rival Senator John McCain. The Herald reported that the Obama campaign has been holding a number of events around the state aimed at registering new voters. The campaign estimated that it has registered 135,000 voters in the state to date. b,121b,121(a href="http://www.mtv.com/news/articles/1596002/20081001/jay_z.jhtml" target="_blank"1source/a1)

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    b,121 he just said that he would eliminate subsidies for ethanol and agricultural goods.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121one of the only issues on which J Mac can truly claim the "Maverick" mantle, and one of the few issues on which dude is right.

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    b,121 he just said that he would eliminate subsidies for ethanol and agricultural goods.
    b,121
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    b,121one of the only issues on which J Mac can truly claim the "Maverick" mantle, and one of the few issues on which dude is right.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121And I agree that farm subsidies are a cancer but I didn't expect a candidate to touch the third rail on this issue. b,121b,121There is big money and heartland values that come into play when you threaten it. How we produce food in this country has huge implications to our national security, health, and well being.b,121b,121I am just not sure that McCain has middle Americans to spare in this election.

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    b,121 he just said that he would eliminate subsidies for ethanol and agricultural goods.
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    b,121one of the only issues on which J Mac can truly claim the "Maverick" mantle, and one of the few issues on which dude is right.
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    b,121And I agree that farm subsidies are a cancer but I didn't expect a candidate to touch the third rail on this issue.
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    b,121There is big money and heartland values that come into play when you threaten it. How we produce food in this country has huge implications to our national security, health, and well being.
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    b,121I am just not sure that McCain has middle Americans to spare in this election.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121yeah I was just pulling that point about subsidies out of context; I did not intend to remark on your surprise re: his taking this position.b,121b,121his position is the true conservative one, which is ironic considering the political liablity it poses among "conservatives" to take this position.

  • a href="http://www.geekologie.com/2008/10/protest_robot_does_your_protes.php" target="_blank"1this is funny/awesome./a1

  • GaryGary 3,982 Posts
    what do blogger mean by "the jump"?b,121b,121I've started seeing this now but I dont' get it. Is that clicking on a link that takes you out to another website?

  • UnherdUnherd 1,880 Posts
    I dunno guys, Pennsylvania is looking pretty a href="" target="_blank"1"split"/a1 right now...

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    b,121Diebold knows* with some exactitude, so there's the
    how/b1 the Republicans could know. Didn't Diebold return more Republican votes for Ohio than there were voters in 2006?b,121I watched the 2000/01 election in a Cambodian village with some of the poorest, least educated people on the planet. And they could see the election was a crock of sh*t. b,121b,121h,121
    font class="post"1b,121b,121Homer Simpson feels your pain.b,121b,121 b,121b,121 img src="/ubbthreads/images/graemlins/fire.gif" alt="" /1

  • ScottScott 420 Posts
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    b,121what do blogger mean by "the jump"?
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    b,121I've started seeing this now but I dont' get it. Is that clicking on a link that takes you out to another website?
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121a href="http://ask.metafilter.com/31756/After-the-jump" target="_blank"1More after the jump/a1

  • object width="425" height="344"1param name="movie" value=""1/param1param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"1/param1embed src="" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"1/embed1/object1b,121b,121 img src="/ubbthreads/images/graemlins/hard2.gif" alt="" /1

  • UnherdUnherd 1,880 Posts
    Looking for a good thread to post this, but I knew you beat me when I saw u had brought this one back. b,121b,121Seriously tho, this clip is pretty incredible....

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    b,121Yeah, but SF is like Boston???
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    font class="post"1 b,121...completely filled to the brim with negrophobic closet racist 'liberals' who won't talk it like they walk it when the voting booth curtain closes. Just like most major American cities. b,121b,121Them, combined with the rest of America= McCain victory. I'll stake a case of Schlitz on it. img src="/ubbthreads/images/graemlins/headz.gif" alt="" /1

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    b,121Yeah, but SF is like Boston???
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    b,121...completely filled to the brim with negrophobic closet racist 'liberals' who won't talk it like they walk it when the voting booth curtain closes. Just like most major American cities.
    b,121
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121you're totally wrong, and I'm not just saying that cause I live in SF.b,121b,121you fundamentally misunderstand the mindset of the faux-liberal white SF resident. you can argue that these people are "negrophobic" or that they would never have a black friend in the real world, but you're wrong if you don't think these people [i]will actually vote for Obama./i1 they will.

  • DB_CooperDB_Cooper Manhatin' 7,823 Posts
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    b,121Yeah, but SF is like Boston???
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    b,121...completely filled to the brim with negrophobic closet racist 'liberals' who won't talk it like they walk it when the voting booth curtain closes.
    b,121
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121Do you live in Boston or San Francisco? Because I can guarantee you Obama will take at least 70% of the vote in Boston. Maybe you should stick to popping off at the mouth about your own hometown.

  • I think McCain-o-phobia trumps any other phobia you can name.


  • deejdeej 5,125 Posts
    lmao @ dude betting case of schlitzb,121bet me a case of crisb,121all it takes is obama's face and bidens gangsta wit

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    b,121WOW
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121I see your WOW and raise with a HOLY CRAP!b,121b,121a href="http://thinkprogress.org/2008/10/02/lieberman-mccain-bailout/" target="_blank"1http://thinkprogress.org/2008/10/02/lieberman-mccain-bailout//a1b,121b,121As one comment said, when I think of $700 Billion dollars, I think of John McCains well being too...

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    b,121WOW
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121awesome.

  • mannybolonemannybolone Los Angeles, CA 15,025 Posts
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    b,121Yeah, but SF is like Boston???
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    b,121...completely filled to the brim with negrophobic closet racist 'liberals' who won't talk it like they walk it when the voting booth curtain closes. Just like most major American cities.
    b,121
    b,121
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    b,121you're totally wrong, and I'm not just saying that cause I live in SF.
    b,121
    b,121you fundamentally misunderstand the mindset of the faux-liberal white SF resident. you can argue that these people are "negrophobic" or that they would never have a black friend in the real world, but you're wrong if you don't think these people [i]will actually vote for Obama.
    /i1 they will.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121I>Obama won the democratic primary/i1, which, presumably is stocked by voters who fall into the "negrophobic closet racist liberal" category. b,121b,121People need to let go of the Bradley Effect. I'm not saying it doesn't happen. But in Obama's case, it hasn't happened where it should have. Why would the general election be any different? It's not like you have people on the right lying about voting for Obama. And the people on the left [i]already voted for him/i1. So why not again?

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    b,121WOW
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    b,121I see your WOW and raise with a HOLY CRAP!
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    b,121As one comment said, when I think of $700 Billion dollars, I think of John McCains well being too...
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121Lieberman is the new definition of douche.

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    b,121Yeah, but SF is like Boston???
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    b,121...completely filled to the brim with negrophobic closet racist 'liberals' who won't talk it like they walk it when the voting booth curtain closes. Just like most major American cities.
    b,121
    b,121
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    h,121
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    b,121you're totally wrong, and I'm not just saying that cause I live in SF.
    b,121
    b,121you fundamentally misunderstand the mindset of the faux-liberal white SF resident. you can argue that these people are "negrophobic" or that they would never have a black friend in the real world, but you're wrong if you don't think these people [i]will actually vote for Obama.
    /i1 they will.
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    I>Obama won the democratic primary
    /i1, which, presumably is stocked by voters who fall into the "negrophobic closet racist liberal" category.
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    b,121People need to let go of the Bradley Effect. I'm not saying it doesn't happen. But in Obama's case, it hasn't happened where it should have. Why would the general election be any different? It's not like you have people on the right lying about voting for Obama. And the people on the left [i]already voted for him
    /i1. So why not again?
    b,121
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121[harvey]the Bay Area is even more racist than Birmingham, the difference is people in the South are more open about it[/harvey]b,121b,121anyway, the "negrophobic closet racist liberal," to the extent that he/she exists in great numbers in SF (I believe it's overstated), seeks precisely the type of impersonal, purifying political gesture that voting Obama affords.b,121b,121it's not like they have to be [i]friends/i1 with a black person, but they can always say they "did their part."b,121b,121either way, come November 2, I'll take it.

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    b,121WOW
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    b,121awesome.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121The liberal elite media should now label him a quitter.

  • mannybolonemannybolone Los Angeles, CA 15,025 Posts
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    b,121WOW
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    b,121I see your WOW and raise with a HOLY CRAP!
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    b,121As one comment said, when I think of $700 Billion dollars, I think of John McCains well being too...
    b,121
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    b,121Lieberman is the new definition of douche.
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121For real.

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    b,121Lieberman has long been the definition of douche.
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  • SoulOnIceSoulOnIce 13,027 Posts
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    b,121Yeah, but SF is like Boston???
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    b,121...completely filled to the brim with negrophobic closet racist 'liberals' who won't talk it like they walk it when the voting booth curtain closes. Just like most major American cities.
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    b,121Them, combined with the rest of America= McCain victory. I'll stake a case of Schlitz on it.
    img src="/ubbthreads/images/graemlins/headz.gif" alt="" /1
    b,121
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    font class="post"1b,121b,121Wow, what a douche bag.b,121b,121Enjoy your shit beer, douchey.

  • SoulhawkSoulhawk 3,197 Posts
    breaking news - McCain campaign pulls out of Michiganb,121b,121jyeeeah!!!

  • GaryGary 3,982 Posts
    Bluegrass Legend Cuts Radio Ad for Obama in Va.b,121Susan Davis reports on the presidential race.b,121b,121John McCain may be pulling out of Democratic-leaning Michigan, but Barack Obama shows no signs of doing the same in Republican-leaning Virginia. b,121b,121Obama???s campaign is running a new radio ad in southwestern Virginia that features Grammy-winning bluegrass musician Ralph Stanley. b,121b,121???Howdy, friends. This is Ralph Stanley, and I think I know a little something about the families around here,??? the ad states. Talking Points Memo has the audio. b,121b,121???Barack???ll cut taxes for everyday folks ??? not big business ??? so you???ll have a little more money in your pocket at the end of the year. I also know Barack is a good man. A father and devoted husband, he values personal responsibility and family first.???b,121b,121Stanley is a legend particularly among the kind of voters???rural, white, lower-income???that populate that region of the state and that Obama has had difficulties winning over in his campaign. As a testament to Stanley???s popularity, bumper stickers began appearing in the Appalachian region that read, ???Ralph Stanley for President??? in the late 1970s. b,121b,121Clintwood, Va., is home to the Ralph Stanley Museum and a 2005 Roanoke Times story discusses his importance to the region. b,121b,121???Ralph Stanley has long been a legend in these parts,??? the paper wrote, ???In the last five years, though, he has become something more than that; he has come to symbolize the timelessness and durability of this old music and this region.??? b,121b,121b,121b,121b,121b,121b,121b,121img src="http://www.efmf.ab.ca/004.performers/004-01.pastyears/2007/2007-p.images/2007-p.stanley_ralph.jpg"1b,121A banjo could win it for Obama!b,121b,121b,121b,121b,121b,121b,121smart!@

  • tight race the polls keep showing the lead change, either way this country has major issues that will take years to sought out img src="/ubbthreads/images/graemlins/headz.gif" alt="" /1

  • gee thanks for that.
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